Head and Shoulder Patterns

In Stock market and any other financial market the Head and Shoulder pattern represents a popular visual marker which suggests market trend changes. This formation indicates moving away from upward trends into downward trends. During market conditions the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern shows a probable transition from bearish momentum toward bullish trends.

Head and shoulder patterns consists of four key components:

  1. The left shoulder
  2. The head
  3. The right shoulder
  4. The neckline
Head-and-shoulder-pattern
Head and Shoulder Pattern

The Left Shoulder:

  • As the price climbs to its maximum point it produces the initial shoulder.
  • The development usually happens alongside normal trading levels.

The Head:

  • A price increase establishes the head section of the pattern when it reaches its second highest point.
  • The central peak of this pattern appears with greater trading activity than both shoulder sections.

The Right Shoulder:

  • The price continues upward but reaches a lower peak during the right shoulder formation.
  • Upward market strength begins to diminish at this point.

The Neckline:

  • Traders should create the neckline by joining points between left shoulder lows with head lows and right shoulder lows.
  • The line functions both as support during Head and Shoulders patterns and acts as resistance when Inverse Head and Shoulders occur.

The Head and Shoulders pattern becomes ready for trade after the price crosses below the neckline for bearish patterns or breaks above the neckline for inverse patterns. The market breakout serves traders as their cue to initiate or terminate their market positions.

Trading the Head and Shoulders Pattern

The Head and Shoulders pattern is considered complete when the price breaks below the neckline in a downward direction (for a bearish pattern) or above the neckline in an upward direction (for an Bullish pattern). Traders or Investor must use this breakout as a signal to enter or exit trades but having stop loss in place.

Head-and-shoulder-pattern


When Does the Pattern Fail?

Reasons for FailureExplanation
False BreakoutWhen the price breaks the neckline but it quickly reverses back, not following the pattern.
Weak Volume ConfirmationWhen the breakout occurs without significant trading volume, making the pattern not reliable.
External Market ConditionsAny sudden news or events may disrupt the pattern expected behavior. No price action of any pattern works technically at this time.

When Can This Pattern Be Traded?

Ideal Trading ConditionsExplanation
Strong Volume on BreakoutIf there is clear increment in trading volume during the breakout confirms the pattern.
Well-Defined NecklineThe neckline is clearly visible and not unclear or vague.
Confluence/merging with Other IndicatorsThe pattern set with other technical indicators, such as RSI or moving averages.

Most profitable setup using head and shoulder trading.

  • Wait and do observation of Left Shoulder and Head pattern completion by the market.
  • Following its creation observe how the price rises towards the Head region with small candle ranges and low trading volumes.
  • When price rejects an uptrend use patterns such as Shooting Star or Bearish Engulfing patterns or outside reversal bars to enter a short position.
Head-and-shoulder-with-quick-reversal-pattern

Conclusion

The head and shoulders pattern in trading is an important tool for traders when identified and if it’s executed correctly. It works best when continuous market uptrend is about to end, supported by volume and confluence or merging with other momentum indicators like RSI. One needs to set proper stop loss above the right shoulder and targeting a logical profit zone, traders can reduce their risks and increase profitability. One needs to have proper discipline and practice which are the key to master this. This pattern needs to be back tested in different market conditions before implementing it into your trade execution. Unless you are not profitable in your back testing you should not follow this pattern blindly.

Disclaimer

This content is for purely for an educational purposes only and does not take it as a financial or investment advice. Trading and investment involves significant risk and can incur losses. The past patterns do not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.

FAQ’s

Q1: What is the difference between Head and Shoulders and Inverse Head and Shoulders?

The head and shoulders pattern shows a bearish reversal, while the inverse head and shoulder patterns indicates the bullish reversal in the market.

Q2: Can this pattern be used in all time frames?

Yes, this pattern can be used in all time frames, but it’s more reliable in longer time frames like daily or weekly charts. Do not use this in 1 minute or 5 minutes time frame.

Q3: How do I confirm a valid breakout?

When there is huge increase in trading volume and a clear movement of price beyond the neckline.

Q4: Are there any risks in trading this pattern?

Yes, false breakouts and external market conditions like sudden news or events can lead to losses. It’s essential to use stop-loss for every trade.

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